Friday, April 27, 2007

Son of Stay the Course

As the Senate sent legislation to the White House that calls for troop withdrawal timelines, General David Petraeus, top U.S. commander in Iraq, said that the war will require "an enormous commitment" by the United States.

When asked by reporters what kind of troop commitment would be required to get the job done, Petraeus answered, "I wouldn't try to truly anticipate what [that] level might be some years down the road." Petraeus noted historic case studies of long-term U.S. peacekeeping missions, and added that Iraq is "an endeavor that clearly is going to require enormous commitment and commitment over time."

Petraeus has revealed himself to be a follower in the fine tradition of other four-star officers who have served under the Bush administration--a mouthpiece who's perfectly willing to polly cracker whatever message the regime wants injected into the echo chamber.

The Very Model of a Modern Four-Star General

Petraeus seems to have mastered the fine neoconservative art of talking out both sides of his mouth. He gave the press new details on the "exceedingly unhelpful activities" by Iran, revealing links to the Khazaali terrorist network allegedly responsible for the abduction and murder of five U.S. soldiers in Karbala in January. He said the Khazaali network "is directly connected to the Iranian Quds Force, received money, training, arms, ammunition and at some points in time even advice and assistance and direction."

But then, incredibly, he said there is no direct evidence that Iranians were directly involved in the Karbala incident.

Of the troop increase, Petraeus said "I think there is the very real possibility that there's going to be more combat action and that, therefore, there could be more casualties," Petraeus said. "When you're expanding your forces' presence, when you are going into areas that have been very lightly populated with coalition forces in the past, that there is going to be more action."

But he also said that “My sense is that there would be an increase in sectarian violence, a resumption of sectarian violence, were the presence of our forces and Iraqi forces at that time to be reduced.”

Yeah, Petraeus has the Rovewellian patter down pat all right: cover all outrageous assertions with plausible disclaimers and hedge all bets: things may be bad if we go with our plan but they may be worse if we don't go with it.

Wittingly or not, Petraeus has also offered himself up as the escalation strategy poster boy. The administration's pro-escalation argument goes that the Senate's confirmation Petraeus as the U.S. commander in Iraq was a de facto endorsement of the escalation plan. That's nonsense on several counts. Patreaus didn't propose the escalation plan; Bill Kristol's neoconservative cronies Fred Kagan and Jack Keane proposed it. Petraeus was, obviously, receptive to Mr. Bush's way forward of choice, or Bush wouldn't have nominated him for the four-star Iraq post. Whatever Petraeus really thinks of the escalation strategy (he's rumored to have said he thinks it has a one in four chance of succeeding), it's not his prerogative to dictate foreign policy, even if he's the four-star head of a regional unified command.

I don't envy Petraeus his job, but I'm not at all comfortable with the way he's going about it. It's starting to look like he's putting more effort into spinning the war than winning it. That little propaganda stunt he stage managed with John McCain and Lindsey Graham and a hundred of their best heavily armed friends on a shopping spree in an outdoor market in Baghdad was downright embarrassing.

Mr. Bush has stated he has no intention of withdrawing troops from Iraq during his tenure, and Petraeus seems determined to create conditions that give the boss what he wants.

At this point in our Iraq misadventure, anything Petraeus or any other active duty general or admiral has to say is moot. To date, everything we've heard from the folks with stars on their collars has been administration serving double talk, and Petraeus isn't sounding any different from any of his predecessors.

Lieutenant Colonel Paul Yingling aptly describes today's general and flag officer community in a recent Armed Forces Journal article titled "A Failure in Generalship."
While the physical courage of America's generals is not in doubt, there is less certainty regarding their moral courage. In almost surreal language, professional military men blame their recent lack of candor on the intimidating management style of their civilian masters. Now that the public is immediately concerned with the crisis in Iraq, some of our generals are finding their voices. They may have waited too long…

… Neither the executive branch nor the services themselves are likely to remedy the shortcomings in America's general officer corps. Indeed, the tendency of the executive branch to seek out mild-mannered team players to serve as senior generals is part of the problem. The services themselves are equally to blame. The system that produces our generals does little to reward creativity and moral courage. Officers rise to flag rank by following remarkably similar career patterns. Senior generals, both active and retired, are the most important figures in determining an officer's potential for flag rank. The views of subordinates and peers play no role in an officer's advancement; to move up he must only please his superiors. In a system in which senior officers select for promotion those like themselves, there are powerful incentives for conformity. It is unreasonable to expect that an officer who spends 25 years conforming to institutional expectations will emerge as an innovator in his late forties.

The future of our Iraq involvement lies in the current struggle between Mr. Bush and Congress over war funding and timelines. Mr. Bush says he won't back down. Here's hoping Congress won't either. I don't know what Democratic congressional leaders Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi plan to do when and if Bush vetoes the spending bill, but I'm ready to support a draconian measure.

If Congress responds to a veto by saying, fine, then we'll cut off all future funding and you, Mr. President, can use what's left in the money pipeline to bring our troops home right now, that will be just fine by me.

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Commander Jeff Huber, U.S. Navy (Retired) writes from Virginia Beach, Virginia. Read his commentaries at Pen and Sword.

6 comments:

  1. Bacon's Rebellion2:49 PM

    Jeff,

    I see that we both picked up on the article by Paul Yingling at the same time. I had just posted the link to the Armed Forces Journal in my comments to your previous piece.

    ReplyDelete
  2. BR,

    Yeah, I ran across it sometime last night. Gutsy move for a LCOL on active duty to write something like that. He must have decided a bird isn't in his stars (heh, heh).

    ReplyDelete
  3. Bacon's Rebellion3:13 PM

    Jeff,

    I've long maintained that the test of an officer's real integrity is likely to occur as he attains the grade of lieutenant colonel (or commander in the sea service).

    At that point you have a very great deal invested in your career and you have certainly achieved (or at least should have) the degree of maturity to know the difference between what is right and proper and what is absolute BS. The question then remains do you the right thing by your troops and your country or do you make a determined push for making flag rank regardless and the devil take the hindmost.

    I will be surprised if Lt. Col. Yingling makes colonel after publishing his article regardless of what his service record and accomplishments may have been prior to that.

    ReplyDelete
  4. BR,

    I can wax at length about the types of decisions you describe that face a career officer when he takes O-5 and has to make some tough decisions about whether or not he really wants to be an 0-6.

    As an 0-5, you can still be something of a rebel in today's miliitary. But as an 0-6, you're a company man, lock, stock and barrel.

    It appears to me that Yingling has made his decision; following his conscience appears to be more important to him than taking another paygrade.

    Jeff

    ReplyDelete
  5. Slightly off-topic, but: Senior al Qaeda commander captured.

    "Seems like every time them Dem'crats want to end the war, somebody reminds us we got to stay in it ta win it!"

    Captured late 2006; just announced today. Curious timing.

    ReplyDelete
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